I've noticed that my flist seems quiet lately, but I thought it was just the season.

It could just be the season, depending on what fandoms your friends list is currently in. Some fandoms haven't changed at all, but one of the fandoms I follow closely is leaving almost en masse.

The more I try to think about this stuff, the more I think about other things I could do instead, like write, or bake bread, or clean the oven.

This was my approach, yes. (My bread recipes! Let me show you them. Although my oven remains regrettably unclean.) But, actually, looking at the poll, things don't look too bad. We'll apparently have more people posting their fanworks off LJ, which is quite frankly a very good thing - one of the big problems with LJ is that it really doesn't work as an archive - and personal-type content will mostly stay here, with some people who will need to be put on a feed or aggregated or whatever. So I think I feel slightly better for having made this post. (Which, for me, is a huge win, because even thinking about this brings on a major fit of change-phobic wibbles.)